Financial Model

The investor model. Cleanly built.

Capital flow, phased deployment, six revenue channels, and a self-liquidating debt structure. Indicative figures presented for institutional review. Full model available under the IM.

Capital Required

$45M

LRG Leather Botswana SPV

Year 3 Revenue

$40M

Indicative

Year 5 Revenue

$105M

Indicative

Target IRR

22-28%

Strategic equity tranche

01. Phased Deployment

Capital, drawn in stages.

Capital is drawn against milestones. Never sunk in a single tranche. Each phase de-risks the next.

00

Phase 1: Land & Licensing

Q4 2026

$3M

SEZA license · land title · environmental approvals · master plan · early Italian partner contracting.

01

Phase 2: Tannery

Q2 2027

$18M

Tannery construction · machinery procurement · water treatment · first hides commissioning.

02

Phase 3: Manufacturing

Q4 2027

$15M

Footwear, handbag and accessories lines · Italian master-craftsmen training programme.

03

Phase 4: Export Scale

Q2 2028

$9M

Working capital ramp · distribution agreements · brand & marketing · Phase 2 expansion design.

02. Revenue Channels

Six channels of cash flow.

Indicative Year 3 and Year 5 revenue per channel. The model isn't single-product. It's a platform.

Channel
Year 3
Year 5
Tannery output sales
$14M
$28M
Finished goods (footwear)
$11M
$32M
Finished goods (handbags & accessories)
$9M
$26M
Lease & manufacturing income
$3M
$9M
Training & licensing income
$1M
$3M
Export distribution margin
$2M
$7M
Total revenue
$40M
$105M

03. Investor Return Logic

Returns, structured.

Three return engines and a self-liquidating debt layer. Capital is repaid before equity participates in upside.

01

Senior equity tranche

Priority distributions from operating cash flow and tannery sales.

02

Self-liquidating debt structure

Long-tenor structured debt serviced from contracted offtake revenue.

03

Strategic equity upside

Common equity participation in finished-goods margin and brand value.

04

Phase 2 expansion option

Pre-emptive rights into the Phase 2 expansion SPV at favourable terms.

Coming next phase

Interactive scenario model. Adjust capital, timeline and offtake mix to see returns recalculate live.

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